OC Dooley

Up against the nation's elite handicappers as professionally monitored by Sports-Watch and the National Handicappers Bowl. Check out his NFL Football record, his College Football record, and his College Bowl record on SPORTSWATCH!

OC Dooley was also the NFL Over/Under totals champion as reported by The National Handicappers Bowl!

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*****Click on the "Daily" option for access to the late breaking Saturday premium report just unleashed at 11 AM eastern from the handicapper on a  13-4 football tear.  An unprecedented TWELVE combined Units of Saturday college football Best Bet activity highlighted by the single most anticipated (and rare) release in the handicapping industry*****

OPENING COLLEGE 5-UNIT EVENT LATE TONIGHT

 

--Opening "5 UNIT" Best Bet (Cincinnati/Fresno State) kicks off at 10 et on ESPN2-TV

--"4 Unit" AFTERNOON Best Bet monster (Kentucky/Louisville) starts at 3:30 et in an ABC regional telecast

--"3 Unit" over/under Best Bet (Bowling Green/Troy State) at 7 et as "totals" go for EIGHT IN A ROW

--"6 game" Saturday premium card includes 4 separate PRIMETIME kickoffs

 

 

2010 PREMIUM FOOTBALL PROSPERITY

 

--13-4 ALL FOOTBALL SINCE 8/20

--All nationally televised football (NBC, CBS, Fox, ESPN) undefeated at 6-0 since 8/20 including college

--2-1 college out of the gate

--NFL Preseason concludes 11-3 including "5-1" mark with BEST BETS

--5-2 all Best Bets since 8/20

--All premium releases 7-3 in September (including baseball which is "4-1" so far)

--All premium TOTALS have hit SEVEN IN A ROW (including "Arizona/Toledo" Under total Friday)

--All NFL Preseason BEST BETS finish 6-3

--All rare "5 Unit" Best Bet bombshells 4-1 since late May

--Opening football "5 Unit" event Rams (+8) OUTRIGHT at Patriots on 8/26

 

 

7-3 ALL SEPTEMBER PREMIUM RELEASES

Last night "totals" made it SEVEN IN A ROW with a 41-2 rout by Arizona on the gridiron where the Wildcats defense was sensational

 

FOOTBALL WEATHER INTANGIBLE TOTAL (Arizona at Toledo UNDER 59’ in an 8:10 eastern kickoff broadcast nationally on ESPN):  The bottom line is that the weather forecast is calling for very STRONG WINDS this evening which is going to make it difficult for either side to generate an effective aerial attack.  For those who enjoy plenty of scoring the initial pair of ESPN college football telecasts last night were entertaining as South Carolina put up 41 points on their own while the USC/Hawaii game turned into a wild 49-36 shootout.  On the face of it tonight’s ESPN total should be well into the 60’s considering that Toledo in the month of September has played above the posted spot at a 9-1 long term clip.  It was on a Friday night about one year ago at this time when Toledo played at home in front of the ESPN cameras and literally outscored Colorado in a 54-38 thriller that kept the scoreboard operator busy.  According to Arizona’s head coach his Wildcats are going to have a dynamic offense this season which is attempting to mirror the wild aerial show made famous by Mike Leach during his long tenure at Texas Tech.  The Wildcats have always been known as a defensive titan but their stop-unit in extremely young in 2010 especially at linebacker where all of the starting personnel have now graduated.  For those familiar with Toledo they are breaking in a brand new quarterback this campaign and will be leaning towards a veteran OFFENSIVE LINE that has a combined 99 starts under their collective belts.  In an effort to give the young signal callers time to grow, the Rockets need to RUN the football, move the chains and control the clock even though they operate out of a “spread” formation.  I am fully aware that Toledo’s defense was one of the nation’s worst a year ago yielding near 38 points and 407 yards per contest (about 5,000 totals yards permitted).  But one has to consider that the secondary a year ago started 3 “true freshman” who were learning on the fly.  The big news for the Toledo defense is that senior cornerback Desmond Morrow is back to full health after missing most of 2009 due to injury.  Morrow (6-3, 204 pounds) can be a major playmaker simply due to his imposing size.  The Rockets also have a senior linebacker Archie Donald who is a “well decorated” veteran.  As mentioned at the top of this analysis due to a hurricane churning out in the Atlantic Ocean, there are going to be STRONG WINDS (20-to-30 miles per hour) to deal with this evening which is the main reason why tonight’s posted total has not exploded deep into the 60’s which under normal conditions would have been the case    

 

 

NFL BEST BET TV WIN LAST SUNDAY

Underdog Broncos OUTRIGHT in 34-17 romp of Steelers

 

TONIGHT’S “3 UNIT” FOOTBALL REDZONE BEST BET (Broncos +2’ at home versus Steelers in an 8:05 eastern kickoff broadcast nationally on FOX-TV):  There is a virtual laundry list of what I like to call “intangibles” regarding tonight’s contest which begins with the matter of serious “revenge”.  It was early last November when Denver was the surprise team in the league with a 6-1 overall record going into a nationally televised Monday Night affair where the nation had a chance to see if the Broncos were for real.  Not only was Denver pounded by that night in front of their home fans, it just happened to be against the same Pittsburgh Steelers contingent that they are getting a chance to host again.  Following that infamous Monday Night meltdown, the Broncos ended the 2009 regular season with 4 consecutive losses and things have not gotten any better during the 2010 exhibition season.  We have yet another unusual situation in this game that is rarely seen in preseason play.  Going into yesterday every member of the AFC East had failed to cover the spread in game-three which left Buffalo to try and save face for the entire division and the Bills (+3) came through with a “double digit home upset” of a talented Bengals contingent.  Going into this evening every member of the AFC West has failed to cover the spread in game-three (Chargers, Raiders, Chiefs) which leaves none other than Denver to save face.  There is yet another unusual handicapping spot to consider in that all NFL teams will be wrapping up the exhibition schedule on a “short week” Thursday which gives coaching staffs ample time to make their final roster cuts.  Odds are very strong that if they fail on the scoreboard once again, Denver will go winless in the preseason as they will have just 3 days to prepare for the finale which is on the road.  Once again it is time to refer back to last night where the Carolina Panthers finally snapped a 6-game preseason losing streak in front of the HOME fans and we have a similar set-up here.  Ever since Josh McDaniels took over a head coach his Broncos have put up a miserable 1-5 overall preseason record, but I have found out that the young headmaster actually wants to WIN these meaningless exhibition affairs.  For those who have followed McDaniels he is a very intense head coach both on the sidelines and during practice sessions.  What McDaniels is best known for during his short tenure in Denver is for literally driving potential “franchise quarterback” Jay Cutler out of town as he essentially ended up with Kyle Orton in return.  It is interesting that the Broncos just signed Orton who is in the prime of his career to an $8.8 million dollar contract extension.  Even though Denver is 0-2 in the preseason it is not the fault of Orton who has completed 24-of-35 passes for 261 yards and 4 touchdowns.  As is the case throughout the league Orton and the first-team personnel will be playing at least an entire half in an extended “game three” look.  With Ben Roethlisberger on the brink of serving at least a 4-game regular season suspension, Pittsburgh has been playing primarily Byron Leftwich and Dennis Dixon behind center.  One could argue that underdog Denver actually has the superior quarterback play this evening especially at the starting position.  The Broncos opened as a slight home favorite but the line swung around towards the visitor due to a myriad of Denver injuries that has heavy-hyped reserve quarterback Tim Tebow (ribs) and running back Knoshown Moreno (hamstring) questionable.  Denver has been behind the eight-ball so to speak ever since NFL sack leader Elvis Dumervil succumbed to a season-ending injury, but the bottom line is that the entire team is seeking a major boost in CONFIDENCE and momentum this evening in front of a Fox nationally televised audience.  As mentioned earlier Denver will be on the road Thursday as they face a Minnesota contingent that has “quality” reserve quarterbacks that were in place just in case Brett Favre decided not to come back for another try.  Speaking of quarterbacks Pittsburgh is coming off a road triumph where they did NOT have to face injured Giants signal caller Eli Manning.  My database research indicates that winless preseason underdogs like Denver off an upset loss where they were cast as a favorite have successfully COVERED the spread in preseason play the past decade (50-21) at a 70-PERCENT clip.  Here is another preseason 78-PERCENT SYSTEM (21-6 since 1993) that plays ON home underdogs like Denver shaking off consecutive “spread” losses.  To add a bit more fuel to the fire dating all that way back to the 1993 exhibition campaign Denver is UNDEFEATED where it counts (9-0 ATS) when off a straight-up loss in front of their own home fans.  Do I hear 10-0 ATS anyone?!

 

11-3 NFL PREMIUM SINCE 8/20

Including 5-1 with "Best Bets"

 

--8/20 BEST BET Eagles/Bengals UNDER (38) WINS in 22-9 contest on Fox-TV

--8/21 BEST BET Lions (+3) OUTRIGHT 25-20 road upset at Broncos

--8/21 Raiders (+2) OUTRIGHT 32-17 upset at Bears

--8/21 Steelers/Giants UNDER (33') fails in a 24-17 NFL Network telecast

--8/22 the 49ers (-2') COVER in a 15-10 NBC primetime triumph versus Vikings

--8/23 Cardinals/Titans UNDER (37') WINS in a 24-10 ESPN final verdict

--8/26 opening football "5 UNIT" Best Bet bombshell Rams (+8) OUTRIGHT road upset at Patriots

--8/27 Chiefs (+2) fail to cover by ONE point in 20-17 home setback versus Eagles

--8/27 Eagles/Chiefs UNDER (39') WINS in a contest with 37 combined points scored

--8/28 BEST BET Panthers (-3) COVER in 15-7 home triumph versus Titans

--8/28 Seahawks/Vikings UNDER (39) WINS in 24-13 final verdict

--8/29 BEST BET Broncos (+2') OUTRIGHT WIN in 34-17 romp of Steelers

--9/2  BEST BET Chiefs (-4') fail by a HOOK in what was a 17-13 straight-up triumph at home

--9/2 Patriots/Giants UNDER (37') WINS in a 20-17 NFL Network telecast

  

 

*****Going for winning football season #6 in a row*****

 

ALL INCLUSIVE 2010/2011 FOOTBALL SEASON PACKAGE IS NOW AVAILABLE (check out the right hand portion of this web page) 

 

 

OPENING FOOTBALL "5 UNIT" EVENT (underdog Rams OUTRIGHT on 8/26)

 

TONIGHT’S SPECIAL “5 UNIT” FOOTBALL REDZONE BEST BET (Rams +8 at Patriots in a 7:35 eastern kickoff):  Due to injury this evening marks the first start for quarterback Sam Bradford since last October when as a member of Oklahoma he was hurt in the traditional “red river rivalry” against Texas.  Despite being sidelined for a substantial amount of time, Bradford will be receiving $50-million dollars of guaranteed money from the Rams who just officially got a new owner.  During the preseason most quality teams with a track record of success expose “front line veterans” to just enough action where the various personnel can get their timing down.  But for the “1-15” Rams these seemingly meaningless exhibition contests are vitally important not only to gain confidence, but also to energize the fan base.  Poor teams like St. Louis tend to thrive in preseason ROAD affairs knowing that local fans can watch the game live and not be subject to a possible league “black out” when the stands are not completely full.  After getting pounded in week-one in front of their own fan base, St. Louis went on the ROAD last week and pulled off an OUTRIGHT 19-17 triumph even though a host of defenders (CB’s Kevin Dickey, Justin King and Jerome Murphy along with Safeties James Butler and Kevin Payne) did not take the field due to injury.  One week ago St. Louis played in a driving RAIN storm which affected the reserves including Bradford, but the weather conditions this evening in New England just happen to be EXCELLENT.  There has been plenty of offshore wagering activity on the Patriots who not only have won-and-covered both exhibition contests, but also appeared in a FOX-TV national telecast in Atlanta last week where fans across the country got to see the return of receiver Wes Welker from major knee surgery.  The wagering public also has to be excited about superstar quarterback Tom Brady who so far has completed 15-of-20 pass attempts and already appears to be in midseason form.  But the fact of the matter is that New England is suffering from serious ATTRITION and INJURY and that includes Brady who is in contract negotiations as we speak.  Speaking of contract negotiations the Patriots starting offensive line is currently in shambles as Pro Bowl guard Logan Mankins is threatening to sit out the season if not getting a preferred long term deal that the organization has always seem reluctant to do with their veterans.  In five years Mankins has NEVER missed a start and is one of the reasons why Tom Brady is a superstar quarterback.  Last year Brady was sacked only “once” in every 36.3 drop backs which was “second fewest” in all of football right behind a guy named Peyton Manning.  While tonight’s home team is having issues across the front line, it has been woeful offensive line play that basically took the life and drive out of now former St. Louis starting quarterback Marc Bulger who has been reduced to reserve status currently in a Ravens uniform.  Bulger has taken such a severe beating that he was actually considering an early retirement.  Of course the Rams are now staking their future on Sam Bradford who tonight gets his first shot to IMPRESS the “first string” offense.  What excites me is that tonight marks the first time that Bradford has had an opportunity to take the field at the same time that superstar running back Stephen Jackson (2009 NFC rushing champion) is also in the fold.  To give you an idea just how important Jackson’s presence on the field is, the Rams a week ago gained 65 of their 172 total yards with their #1 player in the huddle.  Even though St. Louis came away with a victory one week ago, Sam Bradford had 8 consecutive possessions where the team “did not” register a single first down.  I just have a feeling that Bradford who is now playing with the “first string” will generate much more than the 30 total yards on 24 plays a week ago.  According to the Rams head coach, football’s #1 overall draft pick will be a lot more comfortable now that Jackson will be on the field with him.  Taking a look at this “St. Louis/New England series” they are dead EVEN (4-4) when meeting in the preseason.  The last time these two teams squared off in a regular season clash was in 2008 AT New England where the Rams (23-16 final score) were competitive.  It is worth noting that the 2010 preseason schedule sees New England facing 3 different quality opponents (Saints, Falcons, Giants).  Tonight marks the ONLY preseason game where the Patriots are up against a losing organization which has led to an “over pricing” issue.  Turning to the database here is a 70-PERCENT PRESEASON SYSTEM (47-20 past decade) which plays ON road underdogs like St. Louis (+3/+10) off a contest where the defense allowed “5’ or less” passing yards per attempt by the opposition.  My research also indicates that preseason favorites like New England laying 3’-to-10 points who are coming off a spread triumph have actually FAILED to cover the spread the past decade (50-24) a whopping 68-PERCENT of the time.  The bottom line is that tonight’s preseason contest is vitally important to the collective psyche of the Rams now that Sam Bradford will get a long look with the “first stringers” 

   

 

3-1 ALL "MARQUEE" BEST BET MONSTERS IN JULY

"4 Units" or higher"

11-9 all Best Bets in July

 

 

92-94-6 ALL PREMIUM BASEBALL PAST 116 DAYS OF COVERAGE (small favorites, underdogs, totals)

 

 

113-100 PAST NINETY-SEVEN DAYS OF COVERAGE OVERALL

 

 

ALL STAR BEST BET EVENT WINS

The first "5 UNIT" Best Bet of the baseball season WINS as the National League takes the mid-summer classic for the first time since 1996

 

TONIGHT’S SPECIAL “5 UNIT” REDZONE ALL-STAR GAME BEST BET (National League +110 versus American League in a 8:20 eastern start on FOX-TV):  Of course the big sports story is the sudden passing of former Yankees owner George Steinbrenner who built a legendary franchise into a recent success.  Despite the Yankees long run of postseason berths it is almost unheard of in this day in age for a manager to make CONSECUTIVE appearances in the All-Star game which annually rewards the skippers of the prior World Series.  This is a critical area where the National League has an advantage as Charlie Manuel is directing the senior circuit after gaining invaluable experience of juggling an All-Star roster in 2009.  From his first press conference in Anaheim Manuel has repeatedly mentioned how important WINNING what is essentially is an exhibition game really is.  In what is an ironic twist WINNING at all costs was the only thing that mattered to the now late George Steinbrenner  The mid-summer classic has changed dramatically since 2004 as the triumphant league gets home field advantage in the World Series and we can see by the shaping of the respective rosters that the National League and Manuel in particular are setting themselves up to win in the LATE innings as the senior circuit has a large collection of speed, defense and position flexibility off the bench.  One of the most controversial picks was the selection of Atlanta RESERVE Omar Infante who can literally play any position in the field and is a “contact” hitter who can handle the bat and pick up the clutch hit (.367 average with runners in scoring position).  Other National League reserves who can play “small ball” off the bench with both speed and bunting ability are Michael Bourne and Chris Young while veteran Scott Rolen provides defensive prowess at the hot corner.  Admittedly the American League starting lineup has an edge in the power department, but the National League has plenty of homerun capability (Ryan Howard, Joey Votto, Adrian Gonzalez) coming off the bench.  Another area where the National League has an advantage in the latter innings tonight is in the bullpen where 3 different SETUP men can be called on.  Even though the Pittsburgh Pirates continue to be the laughingstock of baseball their representative Evan Meek just happens to have a SUB-ONE ERA.  One of the most prized pitching possessions that every team seeks annually is effective LEFTHANDERS and Cincinnati set-up man Arthur Rhodes (33 consecutive SCORELESS appearances) just happens to dominate opposing southpaw batters.  The next area where the senior circuit has an advantage is at CLOSER simply because Yankees star Mariano Rivera is NOT participating due to injury.  Not only has Rivera allowed ZERO earned runs in 8 different All-Star appearances, he has successfully saved American League victories 3 of the past 5 years.  Considering how close recent All-Star games have been, there is no question that the American League roster is going to miss his positive “aura” from the bullpen in the late innings.  The next area where the underdog side has an advantage this evening is last minute ROSTER REPLACEMENTS as the National League (3) has had to make much fewer moves as opposed to the American League (7).  The newest rule change for the mid-summer classic is that pitchers who start on Sunday cannot participate and the American League has 3 of them (C.C. Sabathia, Trevor Cahill, Jered Weaver) who worked on the final day of the first-half.  One can argue that the handful of replacements made by the National League actually works in their favor as league saves leader Heath Bell now gets to participate.  Mets speedster Jose Reyes has battled injuries for consecutive campaigns and his replacement (Rafael Furcal) at least statistically is a more “complete” player.  In another unusual move to give the National League a “matchup” edge, outfielder Jason Heyward was actually replaced by reliever Hong-Chih Kuo who is a complete unknown except to fans of the Dodgers.  Kuo (1.03 ERA, 12 holds) is a great story in that he has fought back from 4 different arm surgeries to register 36 STRIKEOUT victims in 28 innings of work.  O course the American League has won 13 consecutive All-Star games and also has the statistical edge in this year’s round of Interleague contests.  While the overall balance of power has not shifted, the “cream of the crop” with National League STARTING PITCHERS has.  To give you an idea of the amazing depth there are actually 4 different hurlers with better ERA’s (Johnson, Wainwright, Halladay, Garcia) than tonight’s starter Ubaldo Jiminez who has gotten the nod courtesy of a phenomenal 15-1 record and a no-hitter.  What is so scary is that the National League pitching roster does not include phenom Stephen Strasburg (2.32 ERA, 61 strikeouts) and Johan Santana who not all that long ago was the most dominant hurler in the game.  Two-time Cy Young award winner Tim Lincecum has been reduced to a mere afterthought even though he leads the senior circuit in strikeouts.  San Diego’s Mat Latos who since May has put up serious numbers for the surprising Padres (9-2, 1.56 ERA) was not good enough to make what is an imposing National League pitching roster.  This particular All-Star Game is being played in Anaheim where way back in 1967 the National League pulled off a 2-1 victory in 15 innings of a game where the pitchers dominated, so we have some history on our side.  The National League has not won this event since way back in 1996 when the team was managed by Bobby Cox.  In another ironic twist this is Cox’s last year after leading the Braves to 14 different divisional titles.  Other than Cox and Joe Torre in his early Yankee days, managers getting to lead the All-Star game in consecutive campaigns are unheard of so I for one will be keeping a close eye on Charlie Manuel in his second consecutive tour of duty.  There is no question that 2010 has been the year of the pitcher and the National League at least statistically has an enormous edge in that department along with a very diverse roster that includes 3 middle relievers and a late inning defensive replacement (Omar Infante) who is not an everyday starter for his team. The American League’s string of victories (13) is the longest unbeaten streak in All-Star history, so this is also a law of averages special

 

NBA PLAYOFFS WRAP UP A SIZZLING 13-4 IN THE FINAL THREE WEEKS OF COVERAGE (including a "5 UNIT" Best Bet triumph in an epic Finals game-seven)

 

College basketball premium coverage concludes 14-5 including an UNDEFEATED mark (6-0) with Best Bets

 

 

NBA PLAYOFFS CONCLUDE 13-4

Including a rare "5 UNIT" Best Bet event in game-seven of the Finals (83-79 final score)

 

TONIGHT’S SPECIAL “5 UNIT” NBA FINALS REDZONE BEST BET (Celtics +7 at Lakers in a 9:05 eastern tipoff on ABC):  The bottom line is that tonight we have a very rare handicapping situation as the NBA Finals have gone the distance just 3 times in the past 25 years.  Normally the NBA champion is preordained but this year is different since both the Celtics (2008) and Lakers (2009) are meeting in the Finals after winning the league trophy each of the prior two seasons.  In the past 25 years only TWICE have we seen a squad seeded lower that #3 go all the way and win the championship trophy.  To make a long story short Boston is in position to defy the odds tonight because they are a VETERAN squad that has already won a championship and are used to high profile setups such as this.  I have mentioned several times during the Finals that the Celtics actually won more games on the ROAD than at home during the regular season which is something this successful franchise has seen only twice dating back to 1955.  Normally teams that suffer a 22-point blowout loss would have a hard time recovering, but we have already seen the Celtics bounce back after dropping a 29-point decision against Cleveland.  Of course the Celtics made the Finals after knocking off two teams (Magic, Cavaliers) who had the two-best NBA regular season records so this team is used to defying the odds.  It certainly makes sense to “take” the generous points tonight considering that we have two franchises that have won a grand total of 32 different NBA championship titles and have met 11 different times in the Finals.  When handicapping this particular series I have seen a constant pattern of Los Angeles always responding in a “revenge” situation.  After losing by a whopping 39-points in the 2008 Championship finale at Boston where local fans ended up throwing rocks at the team bus, it came as no personal shock that the Lakers won the 2010 Finals opener by a wide margin.  In addition Los Angeles in their first Finals visit to Boston since that 39-point debacle also responded in game-three by pulling off an underdog outright upset.  In a do-or-die situation back on Tuesday, the Lakers once again responded to adversity by literally outhustling their opponent.  But the fact of the matter is that the Lakers are NOT in a pure “revenge” setup this evening even though Phil Jackson and Kobe Bryant still have not defeated Boston in a championship series.  Lakers coach Jackson has 10 different NBA title rings but he has NEVER coached a game-seven situation like this in the Finals which means it is no given he will be successful.  Following the 2008 Championship series there were rumors that Jackson was actually outcoached by his counterpart Doc Rivers who just like the “zen master” has shown the ability to make ADJUSTMENTS on the fly which is critical to postseason success.  Certainly Boston will have plenty of MOTIVATION after hearing for the better part of two days that they have no chance a winning the title on the highway now that big man Kendrick Perkins is injured and will not play in game-seven.  I found a postgame comment by Boston veteran Paul Pierce very telling as he said quote “we know how to win when guys go down”.  Boston essentially used most of their collective energy in game-five in what they felt was a must-win situation in their home finale.  On Tuesday evening it was the Lakers who wanted the game more and played with much more energy so I for one refuse to overreact to the 22-point blowout.  One may want to call this a “law of averages” pick as the entire 2010 NBA playoffs have essentially been blowouts including a handful of 4-0 sweeps.  We have had one “game seven” situation in this year’s  playoffs which turned into an Atlanta blowout of a Milwaukee contingent that was playing without their best 2 performers.  So far in the 2010 Finals we have NOT seen one single contest go down to the final minutes when both coaches are put under the gun, but I am expecting that to chance this evening.  One of the more amazing statistics in this postseason is that the straight-up winner of Boston games have gone UNDEFEATED where it counts (23-0 ATS).  Even though it has been 32 years since a road team won an NBA Finals “game seven”, the Celtics to a man are confident they can pull it off especially since the starters took it upon themselves to handle the responsibility of Tuesday’s debacle, instead of merely pointing fingers.  Essentially this championship series has featured two teams that are even as both benches have responded while every start player has had at least one solid performance.  While there is no doubt that the Lakers have the best player on the floor in Kobe Bryant, tonight’s underdog plays better as a “team”.  We have dueling setups as Phil Jackson coached teams have never lost (47-0) when winning game-one of a playoff series, but Boston has won the title all 11 times they have grabbed a 3-2 edge in the Finals.  My research indicates that the Lakers are a horrible 1-6 all-time in the Finals when down “2-3” in the best-of-seven game set.  There are rumors that this may be the final game ever coached by the legendary Phil Jackson, but there also is a possibility that his is the swansong for Doc Rivers in Boston.  After tonight Rivers is losing his defensive architect as a prized assistant will move on to be head coach in Chicago.  One could make a strong argument that tonight is the final chance for Boston’s corp group of veterans (Garnett, Allen, Pierce, Wallace) who are getting too old to both stay healthy and perform at this high level.  I can tell you that the Boston “big three” are UNDEFEATED in playoff series when all are healthy.  Turning to the database here is a 72-PERCENT SYSTEM (25-10 past five years) which plays ON teams like Boston after trailing the previous game by 15+ points at halftime, off a contest where less than 161 combined points were put on the scoreboard.  In the past two years Boston is UNDEFEATED where it counts (8-0 ATS) when revenging a road loss against an opponent.  Tonight marks the 5^th time that the Celtics and Lakers have met in a championship “game seven” situation which sets us up for an absolute classic

 

 

NCAA CHAMPIONSHIP BEST BET WIN

Decided by TWO point margin

 

TONIGHT'S "4 UNIT" REDZONE COLLEGE BEST BET ( Butler +7' versus Duke in a 9:20 eastern NCAA National Championship tipoff on CBS): One may want to call this the college "intangible lock of the year" because in essence the stars have lined up to give us a very good chance at seeing a memorable upset. It was exactly TWENTY-FIVE YEARS ago when we had the biggest upset in college basketball history as #9 seed Villanova knocked off Patrick Ewing and heavily favored Georgetown in the 1985 Finals. The last time a " non" power conference squad won the national championship just happened to be exactly TWENTY YEARS ago when Nevada-Las Vegas (Mountain West Conference) pulled off the trick. Certainly there has never been a school as small as Butler (4,200 enrollment) that has run the table in the NCAA's but one can make an argument that tonight's game is a reflection on the current state of college basketball. We are currently in an era that is defined by the NBA's minimum-age limit whereby the very best players participate only briefly before leaving BCS-Conference schools. Small conference "mid major" programs now have an edge in chemistry and in the case of the Bulldogs prior EXPERIENCE in postseason pressure situations. Butler has reached the Sweet Sixteen round of the NCAA Tournament 3 times in the past eight years and this particular squad just happened to return all FIVE starters from 2009. Back on Saturday as predicted Duke showed the nation and all the negative media critics that they truly deserved to be a "one seed" instead of West Virginia who ended up in the #2 slot. This evening it is Butler who has special motivation to prove that a "mid major" program can be a viable threat to win the Big Dance. Going back to day-one of this tournament Texas-El Paso was a popular upset pick by prognosticators to immediately knock the Bulldogs out of the Big Dance. Not only did that upset not occur, Butler has now knocked off opposition from 3 of the absolute toughest conferences (Big East, Big 12, Big 10) in the entire country. It is hard to call Butler a true cinderella since they entered this tournament with a high #5 seed. In addition TEN of the 15 players on Butler's roster just happen to reside from the "basketball crazy" state of Indiana where even high school programs are king. Even though he looks like a student Butler's Brad Stevens has the MOST WINS all-time by a head coach in his initial 3 years of service. Despite his very young age (33) Stephens does not panic on the sidelines and that is also reflected in his players who lost leads against both Syracuse and Kansas State but were mentally tough enough to recover in the clutch. It is easy to see why Butler has been cast as a prohibitive underdog even though they are playing just 6 miles from campus which assures enormous fan support. It was exactly one year ago when Michigan State (+8) actually had the advantage of playing in their home state but ended up getting blown out by North Carolina in the NCAA Title tilt. It certainly is not everyday that we have a squad that has won 25 games in a row getting so many points from the oddsmakers but the fact of the matter is that Butler has some injury issues. As predicted injuries played a huge part in Saturday's Final Four as both Michigan State and West Virginia were not completely healthy and ultimately were unable to notch victories even though both head coaches (Tom Izzo, Bob Huggins) had long track records of success. Butler has a pair of starting front-line players Matt Howard (concussion) and Shelvin Mack (thigh) who are officially listed on the injury report but this team has a lot of depth. On offense the Bulldogs seemingly always have 5 players who can both "pass and catch" as they constantly work the shot clock which eventually wears down the opposition. I want all of you to be aware that prior to this tournament both Duke (2-6-1) and Butler (3-7 very end of January through February) struggled "against the spread" but have made investors a fortune in the Big Dance. It is also worth considering that Duke (34) and Butler (33) almost have the same number of overall victories which means TAKING the generous points is the way to go. Turning to the database I see that Duke is actually a poor 10-20 ATS/ROAD long term following a game where they made 50+% from three-point territory. Here is a 65-PERCENT SYSTEM (68-37 since 1997) that goes AGAINST "neutral court" favorites like Duke in a game involving two excellent defenses, after a blowout win of 20+ points in margin. That system indicates that Duke's pounding of West Virginia actually puts them in a "go against" betting situation. Here is a 66-PERCENT SYSTEM (110-58 past five years) which plays ON "veteran" underdogs like Butler of 3'-to-9' points off a very low scoring game where both sides put less than 66 points on the scoreboard, with all FIVE starters returning. It is almost unheard of to have an underdog setup like what we are seeing this evening so I am putting the label of "college postseason game of the year" on this pick

Continued...

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Get everything OC Dooley has to offer including his Premium Totals, Power Picks, and BEST BET all for the amazingly low price of just $33! Purchased individually, these plays would cost you $45. An irresistable price from the man who has all $100 players up $26,000 over the last 2 seasons!  ALL COLLEGE/PRO FOOTBALL MARQUEE BEST BETS OF AT LEAST 4-UNITS (45-25) LAST YEAR HIT 65-PERCENT. TOP-RATED NFL WAGERS (30-13) REACH AMAZING 70-PERCENT PLATEAU

 Price: $33.00
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Purchase today and your package is good until: September 5th, 2010

3 days of OC Dooley's complete package for a discounted rate of just $25 per day! Every Total, Power Pick, and BEST BET for 3 solid days of winners!  ALL COLLEGE/PRO FOOTBALL MARQUEE BEST BETS OF AT LEAST 4-UNITS (45-24) COVER AT 65-PERCENT CLIP ONE YEAR AGO.  TOP-RATED NFL WAGERS (30-13) REACH AMAZING 70-PERCENT PLATEAU

 Price: $75.00
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Purchase today and your package is good until: September 7th, 2010

No matter what day of the week you purchase this gives you FOUR uninterrupted days of premium coverage.  Keep in mind though this package was designed specifically with the football gambler. It allows you to purchase Thursday, Friday, Saturday, and Sunday for a rate of just $22.50 per day. As always, this includes OC's Totals, Power Picks, and BEST BET!  ALL COLLEGE/PRO FOOTBALL BEST BETS OF AT LEAST 4-UNITS ONE YEAR AGO (45-24) COVER AT 65-PERCENT.  TOP-RATED NFL WAGERS (30-13) REACH INCREDIBLE 70-PERCENT PLATEAU

 Price: $90.00
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Purchase today and your package is good until: September 8th, 2010

Watch the Spider weave his web of winners for an entire 7 day stretch for less than $21 per day. For 7 complete days you will be privy to every Total, Power Pick, and BEST BET that the Spider has to offer.  ALL COLLEGE/PRO FOOTBALL BEST BETS OF AT LEAST 4-UNITS ONE YEAR AGO (45-24) COVER AT 65-PERCENT CLIP.  TOP-RATED NFL WAGERS (30-13) REACH INCREDIBLE 70-PERCENT PLATEAU

 Price: $149.00
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Purchase today and your package is good until: September 11th, 2010

Congratulations to all who followed the Spider in FOOTBALL last year where ALL marquee BEST BET wagers of at least 4-Units covered at a 65-PERCENT clip.  Top-rated NFL wagers (30-13) reach incredible 70-PERCENT plateau.  Catch every single Best Bet, Power Pick and Total in ALL sports including baseball and basketball for less than $5.00 per day!  That's 21 full days of of RESEARCH AND ANALYIS from the handicapper that went a blistering 20-5-1 ATS in both September and October with marquee football BEST BET releases of 4-Units or higher two years ago

 Price: $199.00
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Purchase today and your package is good until: September 25th, 2010

OC Dooley delivers an entire 31 days worth of winners for an extremely economical price of less than $16 per day. Every Total, Power Pick, and BEST BET for 31 days, including TOTALS. If you truly want to test the Spider's efforts, this is the package for you. Oscar will make you a loyal customer after you give him a just 31 days. The last 2 seasons have produced a net profit of 261 units. Find out now what long term clients already know!  ALL COLLEGE/PRO FOOTBALL BEST BETS OF AT LEAST 4-UNITS ONE YEAR AGO (45-24) COVER AT 65-PERCENT CLIP.  TOP-RATED NFL WAGERS (30-13) REACH INCREDIBLE 70-PERCENT PLATEAU

 Price: $249.00
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Purchase today and your package is good until: October 5th, 2010

Make an advanced purchase of 2 months and Oscar Dooley will give you all his Totals, Power Picks, and BEST BETS for 62 days at a price of less than $13 a day from the handicapper who rocked the handicapping world one year ago with ALL COLLEGE/PRO FOOTBALL BEST BETS OF AT LEAST 4-UNITS (45-24) COVERING AT 65-PERCENT CLIP.  TOP-RATED NFL TOP WAGERS (30-13) REACH INCREDIBLE 70-PERCENT PLATEAU.  One click of the mouse covers 62 full days of gridiron action along with remaining 2008 baseball.  This package also includes early season basketball beginning in November

 Price: $499.00
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Purchase today and your package is good until: November 5th, 2010

Catch every 2009/2010 College/Pro FOOTBALL release now through the Super Bowl from the Spider who has has had FIVE consecutive award winning gridiron campaigns. In 2009 O.C. Dooley rocked the charts finishing #1 and #2 respectively in both the NFL and college football up against the nations elite handicappers as professionally monitored at (www.sports-watch.com). 

 Price: $1,200.00
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Purchase today and your package is good until: February 6th, 2011